KSE OUT!! – spending misconceptions

This item is from Transfermarkt.com and shows the spending of PL clubs since 2011.

2011 is the year KSE became the majority shareholder of Arsenal.

pl transfer spending

I think we need to expose some myths regarding KSE’s ownership if we’re to unite to get him out.

We need a clear narrative in place, in order to formulate ways to get him to change or to get him to sell up.

 

One can see here that since 2011, we’ve spent 5th highest figure. The far-right column shows net-spend, though gross spend is in the far left column.

Man City and Chelsea for much of this period were financially doped by their owners. Due to their successes, such as multiple leagues, cups, and European trophies, they’ve also brought in much prize monies, TV revenues, and commercial deals. So it’s no surprise they’ve signed over £2bn worth of players since 2011.

Man United is a bigger club than Arsenal – and whilst we’re a global brand, they are arguably THE global brand. Only Real Madrid and Barcelona rival or surpass their commercial revenues or overall income. So they can spend more than us at will, given this base.

Liverpool’s income has been similar to ours in the period – though, with their contemporary rise and re-birth under owners FSG and Klopp and their CL and potential PL successes, they have overtaken us in revenue terms lately. Even still, until the CL win in 2019 (against our “good friends” no less) they only won the League Cup in 2012 under club legend Sir “King” Kenny Dalglish. They also had made numerous transfer market gaffes in this period, such as Andy Carroll, Mahamdou Sakho, Cristian Benteke, and Charlie Adam.

Spurs’ absolute spending has been £100m under our own. Though whilst hilariously not winning anything since 2008, their increased match-day incomes will see their transfer budgets rise accordingly.

If looking at overall revenues in the period, as well as financial sources, being 5th in this capacity since 2011 makes sense.  One can expect to see Everton creep up the table in the coming years, and if Newcastle gets taken over then perhaps it too will ascend.

The fact remains that we are spending to our limit, and have done, and thus it’s a myth to suggest that we don’t spend money at all.

Or more to the point that KSE doesn’t let us spend.

The past few transfer windows have shattered that myth alone. The 2018 and 2019 summer windows saw us spend nearly £200m in fee totals. Since 2017, we’ve broken our transfer record three times, namely via Lacazette, Aubameyang, and Pepe.

If compared on a Europe-wide basis, we were 13th in the same period.

Considering the clubs in the top ten, and their relative successes and revenues, Arsenal is doing well to be in 13th place. All of the other clubs above it, bar Roma and Inter, have won their respective national league or a European trophy since 2011.

transfer spend 2

 

So, has KSE underspent? No.

It’s foolish to say he has.

The issue isn’t that he hasn’t got us to spend.

It’s that he hasn’t got those under him – namely Wenger, Gazidis, Sanhelli or Edu – to spend it wisely.

 

KSE needs to fix up – or get out.

It’s his choice. 

KSE Out!! – THE BAD DECISIONS…. #WeCareDoYou

So what are the bad decisions here?

In 2011, when KSE became the major shareholder, the picture than was a bit different from now.
There was more fo a top four than a top six.
City was emerging and had won its first FA Cup (nay trophy) in decades.
Spurs were flirting with top four – and under Harry Redknapp had built a side with some good players. van der Vaart, Bale, and Modric amongst others were all key in a side that did reach the top four in one season and pushed Arsenal close in others.
Liverpool was in a slump under Hodgson and the return of Sir “King” Kenny Dalglish as manager. The latter won them a League Cup but couldn’t restore them as needed.

And Chelsea was at the height of the Abramovich era, with his monies financing top players with top managers.

So Arsenal was comfortable. It held its own amongst the top and could afford to do so on this model.

Arsenal couldn’t outspend Man United, Man City or Chelsea, but was in a better state than Liverpool and could outspend Tottenham.

Some austerity was self-imposed, due to the stadium debts, but the PL and CL TV monies were enough to tide the club over.

What changed then?

Well, City ramped up their spending.

Tottenham declined slightly under Andre Villas-Boas and Tim Sherwood but took a punt on a promising Southampton manager named Mauricio Pochettino who would make them a consistent top-four side and help them reach their first ever CL final.

Chelsea was still strong – and won cups, leagues, and European trophies in this period.
And Liverpool nearly won the league under Brendan Rogers and signed up Jurgen Klopp as his replacement after him leaving Borussia Dortmund.

Leicester won the league in 2016, and since then have sought to sustain themselves in the upper parts of the table.
Everton is a club with much history in English football – but now has the finances to compete.

So the competitive landscape changed, and the club didn’t act to match it.

What’s more is that Arsene Wenger, despite his rightful legendary status at the club, was being left behind tactically by other managers and this showed when the club finished outside the CL places in his final two seasons.

KSE has overseen this ready decline – and they only have sought to correct things until it was too late.

The bad decisions

2014 – No world-class striker in the summer window. The club did get Sanchez – but Giroud needed support and thus the club became also-rans in the league.

2015 – Only signing Petr Cech – the club needed a striker and a defensive midfielder, but then whilst a keeper was a necessity, it was a waste to just do this. this highlighted the arrogance and poor recruitment of the club overall.

2016 – Gaining Xhaka, Mustafi and Lucas Perez for £90m in total didn’t pay off.

2017 – another weak transfer window, with only Lacazette and Kolasinac, bought in this period. However, maybe the club made a mistake in keeping Wenger on fro this period, and he should have gone after the FA Cup final win vs. Chelsea.

2019 – Signing Luiz hasn’t paid off, and signing Pepe was arguably unneeded. the club required a centre-back, and not a wide forward.

The club only got Torreira, as a more orthodox DM, in 2018, despite needing such for many years. and even then, he hasn’t played in his proper position often. This negates his purpose and function in the side.

Another major negative point is that the side has been undeveloped for years – Wenger nor Emery could solve the defensive lapses and tactical mishaps. Yes, KSE isn’t responsible for team tactics. But they are ultimately responsible for the club’s performances in all areas and thus can put pressure on coaches for this to improve.
They may well have, but such pressure hasn’t really manifested properly.

We have rot in our club. And KSE has permitted this to manifest, fester, and grow, to where we are in our current state.

KSE needs to shape up – or frankly go. They are mismanaging and messing up our great football club.

And more to the point, as I write (1st Jan 2020), Arsenal is precariously near the relegation zone. Who has led up to this position? Who has held the ultimate charge in this regard, and enabled a cultural rot to set in? Nobody else can take the flak here.

KSE Out!

2019 was a bad year for Arsenal.

There were some highs, namely wins over Chelsea and Man United in the league. And over Napoli and Valencia in the Europa League. The club also signed Nicolas Pepe as a record signing of £72m, and the club further “won” the summer transfer window.

But the lows outdid the highs.
Chelsea demolished the Gunners 4-1 in Azerbaijan in the EL final.
Head coach Unai Emery got sacked in November 2019, after several poor results. He could not correct the defensive errors and mishaps occurring and paid the price for such.
The side also had a chance to get top four in the league in the final games of 18/19, but a defeat at home to Crystal Palace, defeat away to Wolves and Leicester City, and a home draw to Brighton and Hove Albion, all saw the struggle to get over the line.

The club’s summer signings also didn’t get much traction in the season. David Luiz has been poor. Pepe has not hit top form consistently, and Dani Ceballos has been hit and miss also.
Youngster Gabrielle Martinelli has been outstanding, and William Saliba has been fine at Saint Etienne but then won’t join Arsenal officially until summer 2020.

So despite some promise, the club folded and failed in key moments.

There is only one factor here that can take culpability here. It’s the owners – Kroenke Sports Enterprises (KSE).

Since they gained majority shareholding in 2011, the club has seen a ready decline in its off the pitch and on the fortunes.
It seen a club that was a consistent Champions league club descend to the lower reaches of the PL table.

ANd it has been a culmination of poor decisions and weak accountability that has seen Arsenal descend.

It’s now time to call out KSE – and demand they ensure that proper decisions are made.
As seasoned business owners, they know that any successful organisation is run properly from the top. Those in control know that a business must hold a sound strategy, which thus ensures all operations are conducted smoothly and successfully.

Our club has been mismanaged for many years, and it’s time to stop this trend.

KSE OUT – since they’re not in Arsenal’s best interests.

Bolton and Bury – time for a footballing New Deal?

The demise of Bury and its expulsion from the EFL was a very sad case indeed. Bolton Wanderers, one-time Premier League regulars, too hold significant issues which are placing the club in peril. However, these have abated somewhat since Bolton has been bought by Football Ventures Ltd.

Image result for bury fc

However, the principal issue in this was the mismanagement of the club by its owners.

The EFL, whilst having controls via ownership tests, didn’t have strong enough oversight on this matter. And a club in existence for many decades now has to work its way up to the higher levels of the game.

What then can change, to stop this from happening again?

Image result for bolton wanderers

Is there time for a “New Deal” in football, in that the corporate governance must change?

The format as it stands now is that British football clubs are registered companies like all others. They have to register with the state, pay appropriate taxes, and follow all state regulations and corporate legislation.

So they are prone to be bought like other firms in other industries, via means of standard mergers and acquisitions (M&A) measures. The model football clubs employ is akin to BP, Shell, BA/Iberia, Glaxo Smithkline, HSBC, or any other noted British firm. Whilst football clubs don’t provide the exact monetary returns of these firms, they all have shareholders and owners who appoint executives with the day-to-day running in mind.

In this capacity, fans hold no legal right to a say in governance, and are viewed as customers and not shared custodians. Supporter groups can lobby and petition owners, but seldom hold a direct say in the club’s governance and strategy.

This has lead to Bury’s issues – as the owners were not schooled in footballing matters. Or they didn’t appreciate nor care for the wider obligations in this context.

If owners hold both legal and practical charge, and without challenge outside of the footballing and legal authorities, it lends to heightened effects of poor ownership.

The need for a footballing New Deal is based on football being a unique industry, requiring a defined and tailored club business model.

 

I’m a business studies graduate but by no means a corporate lawyer or business restructuring expert. These are my views all the same on this matter though:

 

Organisational structure

 

Clubs could be companies limited by guarantee. This is a business model used by charity groups, with no share capital nor need for dividends. It emphasises the voluntary nature of such organisations, and could ensure that all monies are used sustainably and in a club’s interests.

 

Fully public accounts

 

This would ensure transparency and is something done by clubs registered in Stock Exchanges. However, this should apply for all clubs privately held too.
Fan representation at board level – Fan groups should have board decision-making powers. This could be by proposing motions, or in voting for them at the highest levels.
Public engagement meetings for all club members – Clubs should meet regularly with fans to discuss methods and strategies.
Fan profit-sharing – If a club succeeds, then club members could then receive a reward whether monetary or otherwise.

 

Ownership structure

 

Image result for real madrid president

 

Owners only can hold 51% of the shares. The rest must be between fan groups and other bodies. Fans and/or fan groups to hold a minimum of 35% of the total equity. Bundesliga clubs have more inclusive and collectively-rooted models. And Real Madrid and Barcelona hold numerous socios who hold the right to elect club Presidents and influence club strategies. If this can work for the two biggest clubs on Earth, it can happen in England also.

 

Football is a unique industry – and needs a unique platform

 

The issue here is that there isn’t accounting for different industrial models and practices.

All industries have different needs and thus structure themselves accordingly.

The oil and gas industries can utilise fully the standard corporate governance model, as they need capital to explore and exploit energy sites and to build and maintain pipelines and associated infrastructures.

The same is true of any large global sector, such as financial services, retailing, food production, ICT, etc.

However, customers of these firms don’t hold the same emotive attachments as football fans do to their clubs.

And the competitive dynamics are different. Clubs do compete with each other, but not in the same capacity as banks or retailers. Manchester United fans, if they’re unhappy with the running of their club, wouldn’t support Man City or Liverpool in consequence.
Football clubs also are community vessels, and were founded as such in the mid to late 19th century. It’s why even up until this day that many value supporting their local club – or always sticking with a club once chosen.

Football support is as much about an emotive connection more than anything else.
Collective ownership may lessen bad ownership cases.

 

Football owner profiles

 

Most people who buy football clubs do so as playthings or holdings. They often are wealthy from other ventures, and hold ownership to grow their overall portfolio, or to use it as leverage in acquiring loans.

They also may use it to accrue soft power, or to enhance their PR.

Not many though have ever become rich from owning football clubs alone.

So with the financial rewards being far smaller, club owners are more incentivised to be accommodating with their fans in governance.

There is less at stake, and generally speaking, their fortunes aren’t on the line.

If looking at wealthy owners in PL history:

Image result for lord sugar spurs

  • Lord Sugar made his money before he bought Spurs

 

  • Jack Walker at Blackburn was a steel magnate

 

  • Abramovich at Chelsea held a share in Gazprom

 

  • Kroenke at Arsenal’s holding group owns teams in all of the US major sporting leagues. And his wife is part of the Walmart-owning family

 

  • Mike Ashley at Newcastle United is a noted retailer owner, with the Shiekh at Man City being a prominent part of the UAE Royal Family

 

This prospective model won’t solve all issues but would provide transparency and greater fan input.

It would also lessen the scope for unchecked oversight, and further, reinforce the community feel of clubs.

A New Deal for football must acknowledge the unique and distinctive structures of the football industry. Perhaps this has been missing over the years, leading to some noted points of club mismanagement.

Arsenal finance facts, truths, and myths

Much is known of the club’s financial state, and factors surrounding its revenue generation and spending.

But what are the facts involved here? And are all of the key points in the public domain actually true?

Below is a listing of the key points involved, surrounding revenues, and the club’s ownership:

 

We’ve paid off the stadium

 

Image result for emirates stadium

This is false.

It would be better to state that the debts we have, at this point, are not significant enough to hamper our spending and other commitments. This does not mean however that all stadium financing obligations have been met.
Around 2013, at the time we signed Mesut Ozil, we were in a position to loosen our belts due to several years of income accrued. We had CL football, bigger PL TV money, and larger commercial deals. We simply earned more money to ensure that our liabilities had a lesser burden.

To use an analogy, it’s like a person has a mortgage for their home, but gets a better paying job, and thus can spend more on other items as well as mortgage repayments. It doesn’t mean that one has no debts, but the debts can be better accommodated.

The initial years were tough somewhat, in that we had to ensure we gained as much revenue as possible. This is why Wenger – perhaps – said that the first trophy is the top four. In some ways, in fairness to him, it was. The stadium debts needed to be balanced with consistently high income – and the best way to do this was via consistent CL football.
But we have a structured debt package which acts as a mortgage, lasting 25 years when taken in 2006. This will thus end in 2031, with another 12 years to go at the time of writing. This roughly equates with £20m a year, and about 5% or more of our stated income.

There seemingly is no facility to pay it off early or in a lump-sum, so we’re stuck with it in the meantime.

 

Stan Kroenke/KSE drain money from the club

 

Image result for kroenke arsenal agm
True, in part.

Stan Kroenke did publicly take two £3m payments for advice, which was noted in two AGMs. However, this hasn’t been repeated since.
But now that the club is fully owned by KSE, this could happen at will and without disclosure in the public domain.
So we won’t know if this will resume, or at higher rates than previously stated.

The amounts taken though were small and were within his rights as an owner to do. And we don’t know the nature of the advice given, and thus cannot comment fully if the payments were justified or not.

 

KSE withheld money for signings

 

Image result for pepe aubameyang lacazette

False, as far as we know.

This was a common claim in Wenger’s tenure.
But neither Arsene Wenger nor KSE has ever corroborated this.
Wenger controlled transfers and when asked by the media or fans, he continually said that money was available.
He did though never say that no money was at hand for spending.
And if this was true, then it won’t be disclosed given the fallout that will happen. Questions would inevitably be asked about how the club could have no transfer funds if revenues were consistently amongst the highest in world football.
Even in the last two years, Arsenal has broken its record on Lacazette, Aubemayang and Pepe, in totals reaching £180m or more.

This point ultimately is very moot – and only Arsene Wenger, Ivan Gazidis or KSE would know the full truth.

 

KSE doesn’t pump money in like it should

 

Image result for josh stan arsenal

False.

Arsenal has never been a bankrolled club.
It has always operated within a model of sustainability and the self-sustaining paradigm.
KSE bought the club with this premise in mind, as it required only due stewardship and not excessive cash injections.

Stan Kroenke, along with his wife who owns a large part of the US retailer Walmart, is a billionaire. Fans assume that he will act in the manner of the Man City owners due to his wealth alone. His intention though was never to “splash the cash” and be our sugar daddy, and billionaires like Mike Ashley at Newcastle United hasn’t “splurged” either.
When analysing the actions of other wealthy owners, it’s a misconception is that they have only spent on transfers. In many cases, infrastructure improvements, new stadiums, debt repayments and even civil infrastructure have been financed by them.
The Man City owners have spent a lot on buildings and homes in Manchester itself. Part of this is the gaining of community support, as an essential part of the City of Manchester. It may be cynically perceived, as it could be seen as buying favour. Either way, such works don’t come cheap, and the City Campus and Etihad Stadium expansions have contributed to their high owner inputs.

At Arsenal, we’ve built housing too. The Highbury Square project demonstrates this amongst other lots the club has procured and constructed. But this has been paid for in large part from the ground’s running. City’s spending is more on social housing, whilst Highbury Square is marketed as a mid to high-end development. The social aspect then leads to more money and the concept of community buy-in, which KSE didn’t really need to do once they gained a majority shareholding.
Moreover, the ground and training ground are being upgraded continually to ensure they’re state of the art and fit for purpose. The club doesn’t need this level of input and this most likely is what makes it attractive to KSE.
It’s like being a 6-bed house in a good area, and which requires little maintenance and upkeep. It’s just about ensuring changes are made where required, and nothing is broken or goes mouldy.

Many clubs are run sustainably. Manchester United is, since the Glazers have leveraged debt on the club, but don’t input money for transfers or other infrastructures. Their massive commercial income, as well as high match-day revenue, all account for their transfer spend capability.

Additionally, Liverpool isn’t bankrolled by FSG, and neither is Spurs by ENIC.

Money is a key factor in footballing success. But it can never be the sole factor. Good ownership and sound decision-making are also important, and Arsenal needs more of this to compete at the level we should.

 

Arsenal’s commercial deals show poor management

 

Image result for adidas arsenal deal
Neutral.

It is true that the other top six clubs gain more commercial income.
But I think, with speculation admitted here, that this is deliberate. Match-day income is very high in both PL and world terms, and the club relies on this to a large extent. It’s only due to weak on the field performances that have cost revenue in relative terms. City, Liverpool, and even Spurs have caught the club up, and it’s due to them being better teams of late. City’s treble, Liverpool’s Champions League win, and even Tottenham’s consistent top-four finishes have ensured they’ve gained more TV and prize monies than us.

The club could do more to resolve this, as every little bit helps. But it may not be due to bad management, but relying on more stable revenue streams. TV money is often based on performance, as whilst PL clubs gain a base level, there also are incentives rooted on league placements. And the CL pays out far more in prize money than the EL does.

There are also cases in which Arsenal’s high match-day revenue has beaten off more successful clubs financially. Even when Chelsea won the league in 2015 and 2017, Arsenal posted higher revenues, albeit Chelsea scored greater commercial income. So it’s moot really, and a composite of factors lend to relative and absolute financial performance.

 

Arsenal’s wage bill is too high

 

Image result for ozil signs arsenal contract
True – somewhat.

This was a concern, though the departures of Jenkinson, Welbeck, Cech, Ramsey, Koscielny, etc. have led to savings in this capacity.
Though Tierney, Pepe, Luiz, Saliba, and fees related to Ceballos, have all eaten into savings made from the aforementioned departures.

The club’s hierarchy has said that wage planning has not been efficient, though the Ozil deal was more about securing a prime asset during a difficult period. The new regime has said they will reconsider wage packages, so it remains to be seen how this unfolds.

One has to also assume that Aubameyang, Lacazette, Pepe, and Luiz aren’t on small salaries either. So the wage bill has been a legitimate concern of late, and the club will be judged on how it handles this in the near future.

 

The club only had £45m to spend in the summer

 

Image result for ast qanda arsenal

False.

According to the club’s MD – Venai Venkatesham, the club has never stated the exact total of its transfer budget.

It’s something that is pretty much concocted by the media, without any real backing by the club itself.

It is true, due to a lack of Champions League football, the club’s revenue generation has fallen. But it would be ill-advised in any capacity to state the nature of one’s transfer spend. It would mean unbalanced dealings with agents and clubs, and not getting full value for players.

 

Wenger never had much money to spend

 

Image result for wenger kroenke

False – as far as can be noted.

Our current structure has, to a large extent, separated Wenger’s job spec.

Wenger was the head coach (Emery), controlled recruitment and headed football operations (Sanhelli), and facilitated the long-term footballing strategy (Edu). Ivan Gazidis, as Venkataesham does today, headed the commercial and administrative operations and was the club’s representative at Europe-wide bodies (UEFA, G14, etc.)

Wenger had to report to the Kroenkes of course, and whilst having control of all footballing matters at the club, had a stronghold on transfers.

The summer of 2015 was noted for us not spending at all, bar Petr Cech of course.

But there is no evidence at all that we lacked money (which by 2015 would have been a travesty given the stadium build and revenues we were accruing) or that KSE was telling Wenger not to spend. Wenger himself continually said that there was money – why he didn’t spend to the level required or desired is just unknown.

There is no evidence that KSE ever told Wenger not to spend as required, or that there was a deliberate push to contain transfer spending.

 

KSE don’t spend big on players – transfer spending is minimal

 

Image result for pepe aubameyang lacazette

 

False.

Since 2017, we’ve broken our transfer record three times.

Lacazette, Aubameyang and Pepe all have been record fee signings.

In terms of absolute spend, perhaps only City, Liverpool, Chelsea and Man United have outdone us. And considering United’s revenues exceed our own by some distance, and Chelsea and City have been bankrolled, this is the best we can do.

Since KSE first bought a majority share in the club, we’ve signed Alexis, Ozil, Cech, Giroud, Koscielny, and Mertesacker, who all were in some form were/are key players in our side. They also had achieved big at international level or with other clubs, and were considered world-class in some cases. So none can say they have been slouches, as they all have won domestic leagues/cups, Champions Leagues, Copa Americas, and World Cups between them.

So nobody can deny that we haven’t bought quality – it’s more about not spending money when required or on the right players desired at the time.

 

The #WeCareDoYou movement caused KSE to spend big this summer

 

Image result for we care do you
Neutral.

I think it made KSE aware of fan discontent with their ownership.

And the manner in which it was worded and crafted was not just emotive, but constructive.

But the Pepe, Ceballos, Luiz, and Tierney deals were probably in the offing for a while before the window started. And it just was opportune for KSE to continue working on them, as this online movement commenced.

As fans, we don’t and cannot know about the dealings behind the scenes. Speculating as to actions or inactions is moot since it’s just that – speculation. It’s seldom good, ever, to base firm actions on unsubstantiated points.

#WeCareDoYou is highly welcome indeed. But we just cannot gauge how much it triggered KSE into action, or what the actual response or effects of it were.

 

Some may say the points above try to defend KSE in their ownership of Arsenal.

This isn’t KSE apologism here.

But there are some cases which are true or false, and others that we just don’t know about.

Most Gooners may have heard the above points aired, and may even believe them. There is a difference though between speculation and fact, and fans on many occasions often allow their judgements of clubs to be rooted in conjectural matters. This not only confuses perceptions but also creates an unduly negative vibe between fans and the club.

 

 

 

 

17/18 Football finance projections

The 17/18 season has ended. But which clubs will be the most revenue-earning in the world?

  1.  Real Madrid – Champions League win. Resulting commercial deals may enhance revenues, to regain top spot
  2. Man United – Higher league placing in England compared to 16/17, and higher tv revenues
  3. Barca – La Liga champions
  4. Bayern – Bundesliga champions
  5. Man City – Record-breaking English champions
  6. PSG – CL revenues, plus being French champions, and commercial ties from the Neymar transfer, would boost income
  7. Arsenal – New sponsorship deals, though lowest league finish since 1995. Match-day income may be lower due to Europa League football
  8. Liverpool – CL runners-up and fourth in England. New stadium stand would enhance match-day income
  9. Chelsea – FA Cup winners, but R/16 in CL and 5th in the league. New stadium plans being delayed greatly retard future abilities to earn more
  10. Juventus – Italian champions, but need CL win and/or better Serie A deals to earn more and move higher in the table
Image result for deloitte money league 2018
2016/17 figures for contrast.

Some trends in the short-term (3-5 years) include:

  • Tottenham moving up the table due to the higher revenues from its new stadium
  • Juventus moving higher if they win the Champions League
  • PSG moving up if they attain CL success
  • Potential growth for Arsenal, due to the Club Level expansion, and possible improvement under Emery
  • Should Man City improve under Pep, and gain sustained Premier Leagues and European successes, they could potentially rival Man United’s income, due to prize money, TV revenues, and heightened commercial income.

It would be interesting to note. However, I expect English clubs to dominate, considering the higher TV deals that the Premier League accrues. This has been enhanced lately via the Amazon Prime agreement, facilitating live streaming of games.

 

Deloitte Money League 2018

Deloitte has released its annual Money League today.

It highlights the world’s top clubs, concerning revenues and turnover.

It’s a key tool in understanding the big clubs’ motivations and income sources, and just how much contemporary football is money-oriented.

The infographic and slideshow denote each club’s ranking this year, further specified below:
– Manchester United
 – Real Madrid
– Barcelona
– Bayern Munich
– Manchester City
– Arsenal
– PSG
– Chelsea
– Liverpool
– Juventus
– Tottenham Hotspur
– Borussia Dortmund
– Atletico Madrid
– Leicester City
– Internazionale
– Schalke 04
– West Ham United
– Southampton
– Napoli
– Everton
Overall, there are few surprises.
English clubs dominate due to the extended TV rights deal.
Manchester United is still top, though winning the Europa League ensured it just pipped Real Madrid, which of course won the Champions League.
In the top ten, Arsenal has moved from seventh to sixth, whilst Chelsea due to a lack of European football has fallen to eighth place.
Everton is a new entrant to the top twenty, as is Napoli.
PSG’s revenues have fallen, though this may change in 17/18 if they attain major Champions League success. The record signing of Neymar may also boost commercial deals, and merchandise sales.
In coming posts, I shall take time to analyse clubs’ performances, as well as trends apparent between countries.

 

Van Dijk IS worth it – #footballfinance

I’m a great fan of The Football Terrace, hosted by Terry Flewers, a Man United fan. His channel is a general football channel, and not just focused on Man U, however, he continually makes a sound point vis a vis football transfers.

Football transfers are prices, and prices are subject to inflation.

It’s that simple.

If people have more money to spend, then product prices can rise.

Worth is always subjective and based on what buyers and sellers are willing to agree with.

Van Dijk will cost £75m, which is a world record for a defender. However, this is why I believe he is worth it:

 

  • Inflationary effects

 

One of the causes of inflation in an economy is money supply factors. Without using too much economic jargon, this just means that if there is more money in an economy, then people may be more willing to spend, and thus prices go up to take advantage of this. It’s like if a new high-end apartment block opens up in a poorer area of town. There may be more goods and services to take advantage of this, like new shops, stores, or other amenities. It’s the same principle here. More money means higher rates and more opportunities.

Another example, and perhaps a peculiar one, is “tourist prices”. If a Westerner visits a third world country, s/he may be charged at higher rates even if the individual isn’t wealthy. It’s the perception, (whether accurate or not) of wealth that ensures things from taxi rides, to bar drinks, or souvenirs, are more highly-priced. The principle is still the same. More spending power relates to a higher price.

 

  • More income streams

 

As the world’s most popular sport, football is riding the wave of increased global sports commercialism. This is not exclusive to football, but all sports in recent decades have caught this bug. The Mayweather/McGregor fight is an example since it got big box office and billing.

So with bigger TV rights deals, sponsorships, prize money, and wealthy owners inputting funds, it’s a no-brainer where this inflationary pressure is coming from.

 

  • Worth is subjective

 

When Dele Alli joined Spurs from MK Dons, he cost £5m. Maradona, when he was the world record transfer signing, cost the same. Now, Alli is talented, and few would question that. But Maradona patently is an all-time footballing legend. Alli may never reach Maradona’s level, and only Ronaldo and Messi can make claim to that of current players.

But what is that? Maradona joined Napoli many years ago, and times, prices, and the transfer market have changed since then? Well, this is why transfer prices have increased since factors have altered. We’ve seen that the world record fee has grown over time, and if anything the massive leap within a year from Pogba to Neymar highlights the level of money and purchasing power in contemporary football. More money does command higher prices.

I firmly believe we will see a £1 billion player in the near future. He may currently be a schoolboy, playing grassroots football somewhere for all we know. But present trends do not look like abating any time soon, and as value changes, the world’s first £1 billion could result.

 

  • False weighting

 

I believe this notion that players are not “worth it” comes from a false weighting of prices. All prices, for virtually all products, are set by demand and supply factors, or the acceptable profits/losses that a firm will accrue. A can of Coke in 1995 cost less than it does today. The reasons are as aforecited.

A price only reflects the present realities of the market or the buyer and seller’s needs. That’s it. Transfer registrations are products, and as items for sale thus have associated prices. A price is just a label to identify how much to transfer something from party A to party B. Again, that’s it. It may seem formulaic, but then it’s pretty much the principal facet at play.

Both Soton and Liverpool, of course, play in the Premier League and understand the footballing market. They are subject to the prevailing TV firms, media, agents, and footballing authorities, and have agreed on a fee based on the current circumstances in this market. This is the only thing that makes van Dijk “worth the fee”.

Rio Ferdinand cost £35 million in the early 2000s, and yes, van Dijk may not have reached his level yet. But then had van Dijk been playing in the early 2000s, he may have cost the same. Or slightly more, or less. Rio was cost at the factors pertaining to the early 2000s. Sir Alex knew that, as did Leeds United. Liverpool, Klopp, FSG, van Dijk, Pellegrino, and the owners of Southampton, all know this now. To cite conditions, markets, and retired managers’ effects from long ago is to raise a fallacy.

Fans, media, and pundits alike perpetuate this thinking by not seeing every transfer in its current context. All markets are fluid, and this is why it’s said economics is not an exact science. It really is not. There are so many variables that can affect how ANY market functions. Take Brexit. In May 2016, the pound sterling was doing fine versus the US dollar. Yet from June 2016 onwards, due to the Leave vote, it fell by a large margin. Only now has “the Cable” started to recover and restabilise. Football markets should be seen in a similar manner, as dynamic entities reacting to new, emerging, and present realities.

I admit this piece may read like an essay. I’m not an economist, nor a financial analyst. However, as a football fan, and long-time student of economics and business topics, it makes perfect sense why transfer reg. prices are rising at the rate we’re witnessing now.

So yes, in summation, Virgil van Dijk is worth it. This is an astute signing by Liverpool since it will surely aid their defensive set-up. He may even wax lyrical, like his Roman poet namesake.

Why are footballers’ salaries so high?

This is a very old comment. Footballers, whilst role models in some sense, are not as societally critical as doctors, nurses, teachers, or firefighters. So do they warrant their high salaries?

The basis of a salary is the responsibility, qualifications, and affects one’s work has in an organisation and/or community. This is why the CEO of an organisation gets more money than the office cleaner.

A similar rationale applies for footballers. Footballers are the chief employees of any football club. All other employees, it can be argued, in a club are geared towards their success. Take Real Madrid. Ronaldo, Modric, Marcelo, or Kroos, win games, leagues, and Champions Leagues leading to more commercial revenue, TV rights, and match-day income for Los Blancos. This, in turn, provides medical staff, ground staff, or even HR and ICT staff, with continued employment.

With this scope, footballers as prime assets bring in big bucks so they can get the big bucks. Moreover, their talents are pretty much unique. Not many, ever, can be as good as Messi or Ronaldo.  Their talents bring in great revenues for numerous factors, namely FIFA, UEFA, La Liga, Real Madrid and Barca, Adidas, Nike, and various other firms/organisations.

So using the principle of responsibility and impact/effects, there is a sound reason why footballers get paid so much. They are prime entertainers.

It’s odd that few people question why Hollywood actors receive equivalent remuneration to footballers. Their roles are not strictly societally critical, yet like sportspeople generally, they do drive industries from top to bottom. Film executives and producers, right down to camera, video, make-up, etc. all rely on their continuance.

Similarly is true of musicians, or top people in other sports. What about Serena Williams, Usain Bolt, Conor MacGregor, or Lewis Hamilton? Tennis, track and field, or MMA, are not core social functions, are they?

So it’s pretty much natural that they get paid highly.

Is this ethical? Well, we accept readily the notion that, as aforecited, responsibility and scope are key factors in remuneration.

I would support the increased pay of doctors, nurses, firefighters, teachers, or other more societally critical fields.

However, what is societally critical as a point? Football and other sports provide a lot of employment to various sectors and are key entertainment vessels in the world. People need entertainment, and thus possibly Ronaldo and Messi are societally critical.

Will official online streaming of domestic league football happen?

 

I say yes, it will.

 

It is a natural step/evolution of football consumption.

When BskyB first started broadcasting live Premier League football, the picture of consumption was different. There was no Internet then, at least none that were widely available. Satellite TV, unlike today, was an emergent trend, and the two aligned well.

In 2017, many people own Internet-capable devices, and have broadband connections. They also consume entertainment via the Web, and increasingly more so than traditional media. So it’s no surprise that this notion is being mooted.

Will this “kill” football?

Possibly not. Bubbles generally end when the demand for products cease ubruptly. Football is the world’s most popular sport, and in some regions (such as North America and Asia) the fastest growing sport. So this lends to Facebook, Yahoo, Amazon, and Google, all seeking to bid for Premier League rights. It could mean far more revenues for clubs, though possibly more resentment amongst fans. I believe if anything will kill this trend, it will fans demanding a return to more wholesome/community-oriented football.

This could also limit illegal streaming, and possibly expand existent online streaming services such as Sky’s NOW TV.

A major facet of marketing and business administration in general, is providing products that ensure utility. This also includes providing products in ways that people demand, expect, or otherwise meets their needs. As streaming is commonplace, it stands to reason why the big firms may look to capitalise on it.